Homeless numbers in Miami-Dade don’t add up.

We suspect the homeless situation in Miami-Dade is being mis-reported. Either that, or the number of transient registrants comprises more than half the homeless in the County.

Here’s why… The County is planning to build a transitional housing colony comprised of “tiny houses” on a barrier island in Biscayne Bay. The concept seems more glamorous than the reality, but for purposes of this post we are not as concerned about the concept as the numbers reported to the media.

In a quote to the local CBS 4 affiliate, the Chair of the Miami-Dade Homeless Trust was quoted as saying, “We can end homelessness in this community in 24 months.” That’s a lofty claim considering the source is the same person who promised to deliver something similar more than a decade ago, but for purposes of this post we are more concerned with his stats than the exaggerated claim.

In that same article he claims that there are only 972 homeless in the community! That’s interesting because there are currently 488 transient people required to register as sex offenders in Miami-Dade. That 488 number is not a claim, that’s fact and taken from the FDLE data file. And, that number also excludes those who have absconded, are in custody or the five who are registered in Miami-Dade but also deceased. If the numbers were not being misreported, that would mean that more than half of the homeless are on the registry and subject to the County’s residency restriction.

Now we are not statisticians, but indulge our simple math for a moment… There are more than 20 million people living in the state of Florida. There are roughly 80,000 people on it’s sex offender registry. Even including the half that are not in the community, that’s roughly 4/10ths of 1% of the population. Now if more than half of the people experiencing a certain condition were also impacted by another factor that only affects 0.4% of the population, wouldn’t that be statistically significant?

Now we’re also not scientists, so excuse our naiveté, but if there were 1000 cases of a rare disease detected in a community and the one commonality that 500 of those infected had in common was they all attended the same wedding, wouldn’t someone look at this and question whether the disease can somehow be traced to that wedding? It should be obvious.

Either the Homeless Trust is grossly misrepresenting the numbers or they are intentionally concealing the most significant factor contributing to the problem.

 

8 thoughts on “Homeless numbers in Miami-Dade don’t add up.

  • August 1, 2022 at 4:04 pm
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    It seems the Homeless Trust should be investigated by the FBI for misappropriation of funds, or some such. Just sayin’.

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  • August 1, 2022 at 4:22 pm
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    “We can end homelessness in this community in 24 months”.

    Yes by extermination. Which he has been trying to do since his daughter was abused. Either by forcing the registrants into tiniest pockets of “livable” space severely diminishing their quality of life, or by banning them from the area. Maybe he will give up his chair of the homeless trust, and take a seat in the chemo chair.

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  • August 1, 2022 at 4:39 pm
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    That’s interesting a barrier island in key Biscayne… the only one i know of is across from Vizcaya, and other than that is Star Island, where the Ritzy Rich live…unless someone has built and island, like in the south china sea and what are they going to do during a tropical storm or Hurricane ?, how would someone get from there to the mainland ? Swim ? Next they will be building small houses in Stiltsville from ages past…..

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    • August 2, 2022 at 7:08 pm
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      After doing some research it says there are over 2,200 RSO’s in Miami Dade as of 2022, and of the 2,200 less than 500 do not have a permanent address and are looking for one, and/or cannot afford a place of residence at this time.

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  • August 1, 2022 at 5:53 pm
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    Book would probably argue that he was referring to the non-registered segment of the homeless population of Miami-Dade. He’s made pretty clear that he rejoices in making registrant lives as difficult as possible.

    And yes, he deliberately overlooks that the residence restrictions he was instrumental in implementing is the primary cause for homelessness there.

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  • August 1, 2022 at 7:02 pm
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    Only 972 homeless people in Miami-Dade County? That number seems exceptionally low. So the County wants to spend money by building an out of the way oasis instead of plugging people into existing vacant housing. Makes no sense when compounded with the homeless registrants. I call bs. I’d like to add that several sources indicate that there are between 3 and 7 thousand homeless in Miami, not 972.

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  • August 1, 2022 at 7:37 pm
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    I agree with you 100% that the Miami-Dade homeless numbers doesn’t add up and should be investigated! Miami-Dade (my hometown )is known for corruption ..especially in situations like this!

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  • August 2, 2022 at 9:28 am
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    Most homelessness is caused by the government in the first place. They are not going to fix it. They are going to find a way to feed dollars to their buddies however.

    Reply

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